Mar 28, 2007

Probability and Statistics - hand match ups

I’ll present few examples of hands and the odds of each hand of winning, try to guess what the chances of winning are before looking at the numbers:

1. Big pair - A pair of aces against Jack ten suited, (As, Ah and JTd)
The chances now are: .....78% and 22%
The flop is: Ace of diamond, Queen of spades and 8 of diamonds
The chances now are: .....60% and 40%
The turn is: 2 clubs
The chances now are: .....70% and 30%

2. Small pair - A pair of five against Ace queen suited, (5h, 5d and AQc)
The chances now are: .....51% and 49%
The flop is: 8 of spade, 8 of clubs and 4 of spades
The chances now are: .....69% and 31%
The turn is: queen of diamonds
The chances now are: .....5% and 95%

3. The power of domination
– Ace King versus Ace Jack, (Ah Ks and AsJc)
The chances now are: .....71% and 24% tie 5%
The flop is: Ace of diamond, Ten of diamond and 5 of clubs
The chances now are: .....87% and 13%
The turn is: 9 clubs
The chances now are: .....93% and 7%

4. The power of suitness – Ace Jack versus 87 suited and unsuited, (AcJd, 8s 7h or 87s)
The chances now are: .....62% and 38% and if it was suited 58% and 42%
The flop is: Jack of clubs, 6 and 5 of spades
The chances now are: .....63% and 37% and if it was suited 44% and 56%
The turn is: 8 diamonds
The chances now are: .....70% and 30% and if it was suited 55% and 45%

5. Best hand versus worst hand – a pair of aces versus 72, (Ad, As and 7h, 2c)
The chances now are: .....87% and 13%
The flop is: ten and 9 of spades and 2 of diamonds
The chances now are: .....80% and 20%
The turn is: queen of diamonds
The chances now are: 2 seconds pause 89% and 11%

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Alexa

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